Everything We Said Would Happen Happened. All 7 Things.

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Published Jun 5, 2026

Everything the experts said would happen if the US went to war with Iran has happened. All of it. Seena Ghaznavi and Travis Irvine run through all 7 predictions that came true, from Iran's proxies lighting up the region the moment US forces got close, to the Strait of Hormuz strangling global oil supply, to the hardliners consolidating total control while the moderates got swept out. Then: how 100,000 advanced Nvidia chips may have quietly made their way into China while the Trump administration was busy reversing Biden's export controls, and what it means that we agreed to sell China the second most advanced chips right before blocking all of them. Plus a China Coast Guard ship zigzagging past 30 Vietnamese and Filipino and Malaysian features in the South China Sea, and why that $4 trillion trade corridor is the next thing worth watching. JD Vance Corner closes it out: a fraud summit that only invited Democrats the day of, a new book about his Catholic conversion and the wife he keeps throwing under the bus, and a rumor out of Ohio that Trump keeps humiliating JD in private over a dropped trophy.

Key takeaways:
1. The IRGC is now in complete control of Iran. The moderates are gone, the hardliners have their villain origin story, and the leverage has fully flipped from Washington to Tehran.
2. The Trump administration reversed Biden's chip export controls, and a State Department official is now calling the 100,000 chips that may have reached China a quote huge problem.
3. JD Vance held a Medicaid fraud summit, invited Democrat attorneys general the day of the meeting, and then went out and said the effort should not be partisan.

This episode is worth your time because the gap between what this administration said it was going to accomplish in Iran and what has actually happened is not a policy disagreement. It is a seven-point list of exactly what everyone warned them about.

TIMECODES

00:00:00 Introduction and the I told you so setup
00:08:40 The 7 things everyone said would happen, starting with proxies
00:18:20 The Strait of Hormuz, $5 gas, and the threat that closed it without closing it
00:21:10 Surgical strikes, regime change, and why the IRGC won the war politically
00:32:20 Number 7: the Iranian people are worse off and the executions have started
00:40:10 Nvidia chips, China, and the loophole that wasn't a loophole
00:45:10 China's South China Sea drive-bys and the Vietnam buildup
00:53:00 JD Vance Corner: the fraud summit, the book, and the dropped trophy